Large-scale data analysis shows that the dominant discourse on domestic platforms—where the majority of Persian-language user data is concentrated—continues to favor sustaining the war until the aggressor surrenders. This position has not only remained dominant but has slightly strengthened, increasing by 1.2 percentage points from Week 1 to reach 90.7% in Week 4.
Declining Support for Immediate Ceasefire Across All Platforms
A key finding is the sharp decline in support for an immediate ceasefire among both domestic users and Iranians active on international platforms—many of whom are based outside Iran due to widespread internet restrictions since the start of the war. On international platforms, support for a ceasefire fell dramatically from 27.1% in Week 1 to just 8% in Week 4, while on domestic platforms it declined by 3 percentage points.
Two Distinct Trajectories for “Continuing the War”
While support for continuing the war remains high in both spaces, the meaning and objective of that continuation differ significantly:
– Domestic platforms: Continuation is primarily framed as pursuing the aggressors’ surrender.
– International platforms: Views are more divided—39.1% support continuation until the aggressors’ surrender, while 52.9% frame it as a means to exert pressure for political change in Iran.
Taken together, Week 4 data reflect not merely levels of support for or opposition to the war, but two competing narratives about the purpose and desired outcome of its continuation across distinct media ecosystems.
This analysis is based on data from domestic and international social media platforms, comparing March 21–26, 2026 (Week 4) with March 1–3, 2026 (Week 1).
